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Home Plzen — Zbrojovka Brno

Match Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno August 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Plzen
Plzen
Home · last 5 L D D W
Kick-off
Sat 01 Aug · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
W D L Away · last 5
Referee Dominik Stary, Czechia
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.66
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.46
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.06
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.80 – 0.62
Δ +0.18
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.46 — +11.9% better than the market.

Plzen faces a tough challenge hosting Zbrojovka Brno, who arrive with better recent form and momentum. Plzen’s recent struggles contrast with Brno’s winning run, suggesting the visitors have the psychological edge. The match is likely to be cautious given the moderate goal expectations and odds favoring under 3.5 goals.

  • Brno’s away confidence could unsettle Plzen’s defense
  • Plzen’s home advantage may be limited by current form
  • Game tempo hints at a controlled, tactical battle rather than open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.46 ✓ Cashed
AI 45% Implied 41% +1.46u
+146%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PLZ 11 BRN
57%
Possession (%)
43%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
13
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Plzen and Zbrojovka Brno drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +4.27 units (Brier 0.249).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.66 66% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.46 45% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
BTTS No 2.06 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.25 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.50 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.25 39% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.10 81% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.37 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.53 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.00 20% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 5 L +4.27u +39% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PLZ – BRN @ 2.46
+11.9%
Edge
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