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Home Teplice — Zbrojovka Brno

Preview Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Teplice
Teplice
Home · last 5 W W D L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
W D L Away · last 5
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech · Teplice Referee M. Kubecka
Home Win · TEP
44%
Best 2.20
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · BRN
30%
Best 3.14

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 57% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Teplice show stronger recent form and a clear home momentum, holding a higher points-per-game rate. Their offensive potential outpaces Zbrojovka Brno’s defensive resilience, suggesting a pressing edge in attack. The match hints at a moderately open tempo, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, indicating chances for multiple goal opportunities.

  • Home side’s better form and scoring threat
  • Brno’s defensive challenges against Teplice’s attack
  • Potential for a lively, goal-involved game

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 44% Teplice win
Over/Under 2.5 56% Over 2.5
BTTS 57% Yes
Double Chance 70% 1X
  • 1X2 Teplice win 44%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56%
  • BTTS Yes 57%
  • Double Chance 1X 70%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Teplice
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.64 / 1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
W/D/L 1-1-1
Goals (for / against) 4 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.3
Scored in 2/3
Clean sheets 0/3
Both teams scored 2/3
Over 2.5 1/3
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.17 / 1.55

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
1.33
2.50
Goals Conceded
1
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
3.50
Shots on Target
4
5.50
Corners
3.67
42.25
Possession (%)
42
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
75
OFF · home
31
19
DEF · home
6
38
OFF · away
19
19
DEF · away
94
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Teplice wins when scoring first
Zbrojovka Brno wins when scoring first
Teplice BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Zbrojovka Brno BTTS rate · last 3
67%
Teplice Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Zbrojovka Brno Over 2.5 · last 3
33%
Teplice comeback rate · last 10
33%
Zbrojovka Brno comeback rate · last 3
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Teplice · last 5 at home

0–15 17%
16–30 33%
31–45 17%
46–60 0%
61–75 33%
76–90 0%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

L. Mareček
TEP · Midfielder
3 G · 0.82 g/90
M. Pulkrab
TEP · Attacker
2 G · 0.54 g/90
D. Vašulín
BRN · Attacker
2 G · 0.71 g/90
T. Vachoušek
BRN · Midfielder
1 G · 0.41 g/90