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Home Switzerland Super League FC ST. Gallen — FC Luzern

Predictions FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern August 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
Home · last 5 W W D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
FC Luzern
FC Luzern
L L D Away · last 5
Kybunpark · St. Gallen Referee A. Dudic
Home Win · GAL
48%
Best 1.92
Draw
24%
Best 4.00
Away Win · LUZ
28%
Best 3.70
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.58
book 2.70 · +4.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +4.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (61%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
GAL – LUZ @ 2.70
+4.6%
Edge
Forecast →