Match FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.70 — +4.6% better than the market.

FC ST. Gallen arrives with strong home momentum, boasting recent wins and a perfect points tally, contrasting sharply with FC Luzern's struggles. The hosts' attacking edge and higher expected goals suggest they can control the game tempo at Kybunpark. Luzern's defensive vulnerabilities and poor form add to the home side's advantage.

St. Gallen's solid start fuels confidence
Luzern's defensive lapses invite pressure
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured attacks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.70 ✗ Lost

AI 39% Implied 37% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAL 3-5-2 · LUZ 4-2-3-1

GAL · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · LUZ

14 Balde

📊 Statistics

GAL 2 – 2 LUZ

61%

Possession (%)

39%

3.31

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

61%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 73% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.31 to 1.37. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 12, 11 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 6. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.98 units (Brier 0.232).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.75	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.70	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.01	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	52%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.04	—	40%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.86	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	72%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	—	61%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	58%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	3.44	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+0.98u	+9% ROI