P
Prognosist
P
Home Switzerland Super League FC Basel 1893 — FC Thun

Predictions FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun August 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 W L W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 14:30
4:2
Full-time
FC Thun
FC Thun
W L L Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee L. Cibelli
Home Win · BAS
46%
Best 1.81
Draw
24%
Best 4.20
Away Win · THU
31%
Best 4.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.51
book 2.88 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (60%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BAS – THU @ 2.88
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →