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Home Austria Bundesliga Ried — Grazer AK

Predictions Ried vs Grazer AK August 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 D L L
Kick-off
Fri 21 Aug · 17:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
L W L Away · last 5
Referee D. Pfister
Home Win · RIE
45%
Best 2.00
Draw
26%
Best 3.54
Away Win · GRA
29%
Best 3.70
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.42
book 3.70 · +8.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +8.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.70
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Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.48
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Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.33
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Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.25
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Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RIE – GRA @ 3.70
+8.3%
Edge
Forecast →