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Home Austria Bundesliga Rapid Vienna — Grazer AK

Match Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna
Home · last 5 W W W
Kick-off
Sun 16 Aug · 17:00
8:0
Full-time
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
L W L Away · last 5
Referee Arnes Talic, Austria
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.15
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 52% · book 2.00
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 1.81
Total goals
8
8 · 0
xG (open play)
5.49 – 0.76
Δ +4.73
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.46 — +8.9% better than the market.

Rapid Vienna shows strong home momentum with back-to-back wins and a perfect recent points tally, suggesting confidence and sharpness. Grazer AK has a mixed form with a recent loss, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. The home side's attacking edge and higher expected goals hint at a pressing advantage, while the away team may rely on counterattacks. A moderately paced game with potential for goals seems likely given both sides' tendencies.

  • Rapid's home form and offensive threat
  • Grazer AK's defensive lapses
  • Balanced pace with goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.46 ✗ Lost
AI 24% Implied 22% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

RAP 80 GRA
72%
Possession (%)
28%
5.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
27
Total Shots
9
17
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
6
19
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
1
5
Fouls
19
93%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
0
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match recap

Rapid Vienna beat Grazer AK 8–0 at home. At half-time it was 5–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 5.49 to 0.76. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 9, 17 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 8 from 5.49 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.18 units (Brier 0.259).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.15 48% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.00 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.81 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 48% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Away Win 4.46 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 76% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.60 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 27% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 4 W · 5 L −0.18u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
RAP – GRA @ 4.46
+8.9%
Edge
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