Match TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +10.5% better than the market.

TSV Hartberg faces Sturm Graz in a match where the away side shows slight form stability compared to Hartberg's recent loss. The game hints at a cautious tempo, with odds favoring fewer goals and a no-goal-both-sides scenario. Sturm Graz's ability to create chances contrasts with Hartberg's defensive resilience, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut opportunities.

Sturm Graz holds a pressing edge with better recent form.
Hartberg's home setup may blunt the attacking threat.
Expect a compact game with a low-scoring outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 48% +1.10u

+110%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAR 4-3-3 · STU 4-4-2

HAR · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · STU

23 Kainz

📊 Statistics

HAR 0 – 2 STU

46%

Possession (%)

54%

0.28

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz won 2–0 away at TSV Hartberg. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.48 to 0.28. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.39 units (Brier 0.149).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.10	—	55%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	53%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.10	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.75	—	52%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.78	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	73%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Home Win	4.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	76%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.83	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.39u	−22% ROI