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Home Austria Bundesliga Red Bull Salzburg — TSV Hartberg

Predictions Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg August 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Home · last 5 W D W
Kick-off
Sat 01 Aug · 17:30
1:0
Full-time
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
L L L Away · last 5
Referee A. Sadikovski
Home Win · SAL
64%
Best 1.30
Draw
19%
Best 5.65
Away Win · HAR
17%
Best 9.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.45
Fair odds
5.34
book 5.45 · +2.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +2.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (64%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 17.3%
Odds 8.90
Show model details
Implied probability 11.2%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 18.7%
Odds 5.45
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.1%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
SAL – HAR @ 5.45
+2.0%
Edge
Forecast →