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Home Austria Bundesliga Lask Linz — Grazer AK

Match Lask Linz vs Grazer AK July 31, 2026 — Result and Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
Home · last 5 W W W
Kick-off
Fri 31 Jul · 17:30
3:0
Full-time
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
L W L Away · last 5
Raiffeisen Arena · Linz Referee S. Gishamer
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 48% · book 2.20
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.76
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.05
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.46 – 0.95
Δ +1.51
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.20 — +4.8% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Bundesliga clash at Raiffeisen Arena presents an open contest. The odds suggest a moderately paced game with a slight lean towards a home win, but the low confidence in market signals calls for caution. Expect a balanced tactical battle where both sides may probe cautiously, aiming to avoid early mistakes.

  • Home advantage could provide a subtle edge in pressing and set-piece situations.
  • Both teams might adopt compact defensive blocks given the uncertainty.
  • Moderate goal expectations align with the odds favoring under 3.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.20 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

LAS 30 GRA
59%
Possession (%)
41%
2.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.95
23
Total Shots
3
9
Shots on Target
1
11
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
2
6
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
13
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Lask Linz beat Grazer AK 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.46 to 0.95. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 3, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.99 units (Brier 0.168).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.20 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 54% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.05 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 47% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.67 52% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Away Win 4.80 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.18 76% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −2.99u −27% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LAS – GRA @ 2.20
+4.8%
Edge
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