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Home Denmark Superliga Brondby — Sonderjyske

Match Brondby vs Sonderjyske August 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Brondby
Brondby
Home · last 5 D W W W
Kick-off
Mon 17 Aug · 17:00
3:2
Full-time
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
L L D L Away · last 5
Referee Frederik Svendsen, Denmark
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.33
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.13
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 42% · book 2.50
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
1.38 – 0.82
Δ +0.56
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.13 — +13.5% better than the market.

Brondby enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting strong recent form and a solid points-per-game edge. Their attacking threat is likely to challenge Sonderjyske’s defense, which has struggled to contain opponents. The visitors’ recent form and scoring woes suggest a compact Brondby side could control the tempo and limit chances. Expect a tactical battle with Brondby holding a pressing edge and a likely low to moderate scoring game.

  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Brondby’s attacking pressure vs Sonderjyske’s defense
  • Moderate pace with controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.13 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

BRO 32 SON
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
18
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
11
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
12
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
2
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Brondby beat Sonderjyske 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.38 to 0.82. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.38 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.49 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.33 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.13 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.50 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 47% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 28% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.55 58% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 5.50 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 80% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 4.33 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −2.49u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
BRO – SON @ 2.13
+13.5%
Edge
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