Match Viborg vs Aarhus August 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.38 — +3.7% better than the market.

Viborg shows a clear home momentum with better recent form and higher scoring potential compared to Aarhus. The home side's ability to convert chances and their slight edge in attack versus Aarhus' defense suggest they can control the game tempo. Aarhus, struggling for wins and goals lately, may rely on a compact block and counter-attacks but face a tough challenge breaking down Viborg's pressing edge.

Home momentum and sharper attack
Aarhus defensive resilience tested
Moderate pace expected with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.38 ✓ Cashed

AI 44% Implied 42% +1.38u

+138%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VIB 4-3-3 · AAR 3-4-2-1

VIB · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · AAR

11 Nouck

📊 Statistics

VIB 2 – 1 AAR

34%

Possession (%)

66%

0.84

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Viborg beat Aarhus 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.90 to 0.84. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.49 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.38	—	44%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.50	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.64	—	62%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.64	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	69%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	63%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Away Win	3.04	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	59%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.49u	−23% ROI