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Home Denmark Superliga FC Midtjylland — AC Horsens

Match FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens August 2, 2026 — Result and Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W W D
Kick-off
Sun 02 Aug · 12:00
2:1
Full-time
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
D L L W Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning Referee A. Uslu
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.00
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.40
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 1.80
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.66 – 0.34
Δ +1.32
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

FC Midtjylland enters this clash with clear home momentum, having secured a recent win while AC Horsens are showing signs of resilience with a draw. The home side’s stronger form and home advantage suggest they will control the tempo, likely pressing high and exploiting set-piece opportunities. The market hints at a cautious game with under 2.5 goals favored, reflecting compact defensive setups and limited attacking breakthroughs.

  • Home momentum and confidence edge
  • Likely tactical compactness limiting goals
  • Moderate pace expected with controlled buildup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.00 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MID 21 HOR
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.34
19
Total Shots
4
7
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
2
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
21
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

FC Midtjylland beat AC Horsens 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.34. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 4, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.64 units (Brier 0.158).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.00 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 43% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.31 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.59 69% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Away Win 8.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.25 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.08 81% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Home Win 1.36 61% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 51% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 5.25 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −3.64u −33% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MID – HOR @ 2.00
+14.7%
Edge
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