Match AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland July 26, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.75 — +11.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form and team data, this Superliga clash leans on market signals suggesting a moderately open game. The odds hint at a slightly higher tempo, favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. FC Nordsjaelland appear to hold a mild edge, reflected in the odds favoring their win or draw. Expect a tactical battle where Nordsjaelland's pressing and attacking intent could challenge Horsens' home resilience.

Market favors a lively match with goal chances.
Nordsjaelland likely to press and create opportunities.
Horsens may rely on home support to stay compact.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.75 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HOR 4-2-3-1 · NOR 3-4-1-2

HOR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · NOR

15 Justinussen

📊 Statistics

HOR 1 – 1 NOR

30%

Possession (%)

70%

1.61

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AC Horsens and FC Nordsjaelland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.70 to 1.61. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.13 units (Brier 0.216).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.83	—	54%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	59%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.70	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.14	—	44%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.95	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	65%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Home Win	3.75	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.30	—	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+1.13u	+10% ROI