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Home Scotland Premiership ST Johnstone — Kilmarnock

Predictions ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock August 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Aug · 13:00
4:3
Full-time
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
L L Away · last 5
McDiarmid Park · Perth
Home Win · JOH
42%
Best 2.20
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · KIL
32%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.20
Fair odds
3.18
book 3.20 · +0.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 31% · EV +0.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (42%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
JOH – KIL @ 3.20
+0.7%
Edge
Forecast →