Match Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice August 16, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.50 — +5.3% better than the market.

Motor Lublin faces a tough challenge at home against GKS Katowice, who show better recent form and momentum. Motor’s struggles in front of goal contrast with Katowice’s sharper attack, suggesting the visitors may control the game’s rhythm. The moderate odds on over 2.5 goals hint at a lively encounter with chances at both ends.

Katowice’s recent wins boost confidence and attacking threat
Motor’s home advantage tempered by poor form and finishing
Potential for open play and goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.50 ✗ Lost

AI 42% Implied 40% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-1-4-1 · GKS 3-4-3

MOT · 4-1-4-1 3-4-3 · GKS

10 Czubak

📊 Statistics

MOT 1 – 0 GKS

41%

Possession (%)

59%

2.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motor Lublin beat GKS Katowice 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.92 to 1.10. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.51 units (Brier 0.288).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.50	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.62	—	37%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Away Win	2.45	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	35%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.30	—	36%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	61%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	58%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.51u	−5% ROI

Match Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.50 — +5.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled