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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Legia Warszawa — Radomiak Radom

Match Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom August 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Home · last 5 W W D W
Kick-off
Fri 14 Aug · 18:30
5:0
Full-time
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
W L L L Away · last 5
Referee W. Myc
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 43% · book 2.38
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.67
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.70
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
1.68 – 0.38
Δ +1.30
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.00 — +4.1% better than the market.

Legia Warszawa shows stronger recent form and a clear home momentum against struggling Radomiak Radom. The hosts' higher expected goals and consistent point production suggest they will control the match tempo, leveraging their attacking edge. Radomiak’s defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by Legia’s pressing and set-piece threat, while the home side’s compact block should limit away chances.

  • Home momentum and attacking pressure
  • Radomiak’s defensive struggles
  • Moderate pace expected with goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 5.00 ✗ Lost
AI 21% Implied 20% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

LEG 50 RAD
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.38
17
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
11
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Legia Warszawa beat Radomiak Radom 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 0.38. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 7, 7 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.68 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.84 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.38 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 58% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 36% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 44% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.60 57% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 79% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.20 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −1.84u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
LEG – RAD @ 5.00
+4.1%
Edge
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