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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice — Legia Warszawa

Preview Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home · last 5 L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 15:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
W W D W Away · last 5
Home Win · PIA
31%
Best 3.41
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · LEG
43%
Best 2.06

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 63% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 62%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Piast Gliwice holds a slight edge at home, supported by a stronger recent form and a higher points per game average. Their compact defense could challenge Legia Warszawa, who have shown resilience but less consistency on the road. The match hints at an open pace with both sides capable of scoring, reflected in the favorable odds for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

  • Home momentum favors Piast's structured play.
  • Legia's pressing and counterattack remain threats.
  • Likely a competitive, goal-involved encounter.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 43% Legia Warszawa win
Over/Under 2.5 62% Over 2.5
BTTS 63% Yes
Double Chance 69% X2
  • 1X2 Legia Warszawa win 43%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62%
  • BTTS Yes 63%
  • Double Chance X2 69%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Piast Gliwice
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 8 / 14
Avg goals / match 4.4
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-3
xG (for / against) 0.97 / 1.96
Legia Warszawa
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 2
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.89 / 0.74

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.75
Goals Scored
2.50
3
Goals Conceded
0.50
1.18
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
3.25
Shots on Target
5.50
4.50
Corners
4.25
41.25
Possession (%)
52.25
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
89
OFF · home
50
6
DEF · home
94
6
OFF · away
72
39
DEF · away
94
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Piast Gliwice wins when scoring first
Legia Warszawa wins when scoring first
Piast Gliwice BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Legia Warszawa BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Piast Gliwice Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Legia Warszawa Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Piast Gliwice comeback rate · last 10
0%
Legia Warszawa comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Piast Gliwice · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 40%
61–75 0%
76–90 40%

Legia Warszawa · last 7 away

0–15 12%
16–30 12%
31–45 25%
46–60 25%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Leandro Sanca
PIA · Midfielder
2 G · 2.00 g/90
Hugo Vallejo
PIA · Attacker
1 G · 0.48 g/90
Ł. Zjawiński
LEG · Attacker
2 G · 0.60 g/90
B. Kapustka
LEG · Midfielder
2 G · 0.52 g/90