Match Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.38 — +10.8% better than the market.

Lech Poznan hosts Piast Gliwice in a clash where recent form shows a slight edge to the visitors, who have been more consistent in scoring and points per game. The home side’s momentum is tempered by a modest recent record, suggesting a tight contest. Expect a tactical battle with both teams cautious, likely resulting in a lower-scoring game given the balanced xG and odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

Piast’s sharper recent form could test Lech’s defense
Home advantage may provide Lech with pressing opportunities
Match pace hints at a controlled tempo, limiting goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.38 ✗ Lost

AI 47% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-4-2 · PIA 4-4-2

LEC · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · PIA

77 Palma

📊 Statistics

LEC 3 – 0 PIA

47%

Possession (%)

53%

2.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.02

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lech Poznan beat Piast Gliwice 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.78 to 1.02. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.06 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.38	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	—	50%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.62	—	53%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	48%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.04	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	73%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	76%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Draw	4.10	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.06u	−28% ROI