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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Legia Warszawa — Zaglebie Lubin

Match Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin August 2, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Home · last 5 W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Aug · 12:45
3:1
Full-time
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
W L W Away · last 5
Referee Karol Arys, Poland
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 46% · book 2.40
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.85
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 1.86
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.70 – 1.03
Δ +0.67
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.40 — +11.3% better than the market.

Legia Warszawa hosts Zaglebie Lubin in a clash where both sides come off recent wins, suggesting positive momentum. Legia's home advantage and historical edge in their last meetings hint at a compact defensive setup to frustrate the visitors. Zaglebie's resilience and ability to snatch results away could make this a tight contest with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Home momentum and past dominance
  • Likely cautious tactical approach
  • Potentially low-scoring affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.40 ✗ Lost
AI 46% Implied 42% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

LEG 31 ZAG
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.03
22
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
9
13
Shots Inside Box
9
9
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Legia Warszawa beat Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 1.03. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -2.44 units (Brier 0.177).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.40 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.86 43% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Away Win 5.59 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.13 77% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Home Win 1.57 54% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −2.44u −35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEG – ZAG @ 2.40
+11.3%
Edge
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