Match Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce May 8, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.04 — +8.7% better than the market.

Raków Częstochowa holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, reflected in their stronger recent form and higher attacking potential against Korona's defense. The home side's compact block and pressing edge could stifle Korona's less consistent offense. Expect a controlled tempo with moderate scoring, as both teams show signs of defensive resilience.

Home advantage with a solid defensive setup
Korona's attack struggles against disciplined defenses
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.04 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 49% +1.04u

+104%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

RAK 2 – 0 KOR

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.43

14

Total Shots

11

5

Shots on Target

3

4

Shots off Target

6

9

Shots Inside Box

6

Corner Kicks

2

3

Offsides

0

9

Fouls

16

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

1

Yellow Cards

2

3

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match recap

Raków Częstochowa beat Korona Kielce 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.43 to 0.92. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.08 units (Brier 0.123).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.76	—	60%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.04	—	53%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.06	—	50%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.74	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.72	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	83%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	—	60%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	74%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	71%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.97	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.20	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.08u	−27% ROI

Match Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce May 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.04 — +8.7% better than the market.

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled