Match Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.15 — +14.8% better than the market.

Legia Warszawa enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record, likely to challenge Nieciecza's home momentum. Despite Nieciecza's slightly better recent form, Legia's compact defensive block and experience on the road suggest a controlled game with limited scoring chances. Expect a tactical battle where Legia's defensive resilience could stifle Nieciecza's attack.

Legia's defensive solidity vs Nieciecza's moderate attack
Home side's recent mixed form
Moderate pace hinted by odds, favoring a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.15 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 47% +1.15u

+115%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TER 5-3-2 · LEG 3-5-2

TER · 5-3-2 3-5-2 · LEG

19 Durdov

📊 Statistics

TER 0 – 1 LEG

59%

Possession (%)

41%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Legia Warszawa won 1–0 away at Nieciecza. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.97 units (Brier 0.176).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.75	—	62%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	53%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	51%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.64	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.07	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.56	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.05	—	29%	Cashed	+3.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	84%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.26	—	62%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.20	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.42	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−0.97u	−6% ROI