Match Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin March 20, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 11.00 — +12.3% better than the market.

Zaglebie Lubin holds a clear quality edge over Motor Lublin, reflected in their stronger overall squad metrics. However, Motor Lublin's home momentum and recent form suggest they won't be easy to break down. The home side's defensive solidity contrasts with Zaglebie's more potent attack, setting up a tactical battle between compact defense and pressing forward lines.

Home advantage offers Motor a mild edge in control and rhythm.
Zaglebie's superior quality and offensive threat could unlock chances.
Recent form favors Motor slightly, hinting at a competitive clash.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 11.00 ✗ Lost

AI 10% Implied 9% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-1-4-1 · ZAG 4-2-3-1

MOT · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · ZAG

9 Czubak

📊 Statistics

MOT 1 – 0 ZAG

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.54

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.39

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

66%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motor Lublin beat Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.54 to 0.39.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.86 units (Brier 0.203).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.98	—	57%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	52%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.60	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.88	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.05	—	39%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Away Win	3.56	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	31%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.37	—	77%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	65%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.50	—	39%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.86u	−11% ROI

Match Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin March 20, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 0.5 at 11.00 — +12.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled