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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Lommel United — Charleroi

Match Lommel United vs Charleroi August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Lommel United
Lommel United
Home · last 5 D L
Kick-off
Sun 16 Aug · 17:15
0:1
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W Away · last 5
Referee Kevin van Damme, Belgium
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 64% · book 1.68
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 39% · book 2.47
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 36% · book 2.10
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.34 – 1.25
Δ −0.91
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.68 — +7.4% better than the market.

Lommel United hosts Charleroi in a Jupiler Pro League clash where recent form favors the visitors, who come off a win while the home side has drawn their last match. Charleroi's momentum and slightly better points per game suggest they may press for control, but Lommel's home resilience could keep this tight.

  • Charleroi’s winning form hints at attacking confidence.
  • Lommel’s home setup may blunt away pressure.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a balanced tactical battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.68 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 60% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KVS 01 CHA
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.34
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
8
Total Shots
23
0
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
12
4
Shots Inside Box
14
2
Corner Kicks
12
0
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
7
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Charleroi won 1–0 away at Lommel United. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.25 to 0.34. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.02 units (Brier 0.268).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.68 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.47 39% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 36% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.54 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.41 66% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Home Win 2.92 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.34 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −1.02u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
KVS – CHA @ 1.68
+7.4%
Edge
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