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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Zulte Waregem — Genk

Match Zulte Waregem vs Genk August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Genk
Genk
L W Away · last 5
Elindus Arena · Waregem Referee K. van Damme
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 58% · book 1.68
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.85
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.06
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.51 – 0.54
Δ −0.03
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.20 — +4.9% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this Jupiler Pro League clash at Elindus Arena hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight edge towards goals, reflecting a potential for open play. Home advantage may offer Zulte Waregem some momentum, but Genk’s away resilience and tactical discipline could keep the match tight.

  • Home side’s familiarity with the pitch could spark early pressing.
  • Genk likely to rely on structured defense and counterattacks.
  • Moderate goal expectation aligns with balanced offensive and defensive setups.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.20 ✓ Cashed
AI 33% Implied 31% +2.20u
+220%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

WAR 21 GEN
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
16
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Zulte Waregem beat Genk 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.21 units (Brier 0.213).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.68 58% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 53% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.06 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 56% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS No 2.18 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.18 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.20 33% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 3.62 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.35 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −1.21u −11% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
WAR – GEN @ 3.20
+4.9%
Edge
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