Match Charleroi vs OH Leuven August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.34 — +12.0% better than the market.

With limited recent data, this Jupiler Pro League clash at Stade du Pays de Charleroi hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a tight game with a slight lean towards a home win or draw, reflecting a balanced matchup. Expect a moderate tempo with defenses likely to hold firm, as under 2.5 goals is favored.

Home side may leverage familiar surroundings for a compact defensive block.
Away team could look to counterattack, testing Charleroi's backline.
Low scoring environment anticipated given market signals.

Overall, a tactical battle with neither side showing clear dominance, making set pieces and moments of pressing key factors.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.34 ✗ Lost

AI 26% Implied 23% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CHA 4-2-3-1 · LEU 4-2-3-1

CHA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LEU

21 Scheidler

📊 Statistics

CHA 3 – 1 LEU

59%

Possession (%)

41%

3.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Charleroi beat OH Leuven 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.16 to 1.30. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 12, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.22 units (Brier 0.276).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.78	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.15	—	45%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS No	1.83	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	48%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	1.85	—	49%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Away Win	4.34	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.24	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	—	24%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Draw	3.62	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	+0.22u	+2% ROI