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Home Netherlands Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen — AZ Alkmaar

Preview NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar February 28, 2027 — Preview and Prediction

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Feb · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W W Away · last 5
Goffertstadion · Nijmegen
Home Win · NIJ
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · ALK
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
NEC Nijmegen
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 2.44 / 1.44
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 12 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.86 / 1.08

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
3
1.50
Goals Conceded
0.50
2.44
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
7
Shots on Target
6.50
7.50
Corners
9
69.50
Possession (%)
53
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
61
OFF · home
89
78
DEF · home
94
78
OFF · away
50
50
DEF · away
78
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

NEC Nijmegen wins when scoring first
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate · last 10
90%
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
40%
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
NEC Nijmegen comeback rate · last 10
0%
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

NEC Nijmegen · last 4 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 8%
31–45 8%
46–60 31%
61–75 15%
76–90 23%

AZ Alkmaar · last 4 away

0–15 17%
16–30 17%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

K. Sierhuis
NIJ · Attacker
2 G
T. Chery
NIJ · Attacker
1 G · 0.58 g/90
C. Stengs
ALK · Midfielder
1 G
R. Daal
ALK · Midfielder
1 G · 0.56 g/90