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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — NEC Nijmegen

Preview Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen October 10, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
L W Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
Home Win · AJA
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · NIJ
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Ajax
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 6 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.74 / 0.94
NEC Nijmegen
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 2.44 / 1.44

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2.50
1
Goals Conceded
1.50
1.77
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
5
Shots on Target
7
8.50
Corners
7.50
61.50
Possession (%)
69.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
67
OFF · home
61
83
DEF · home
78
39
OFF · away
78
89
DEF · away
50
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Ajax wins when scoring first
NEC Nijmegen wins when scoring first
Ajax BTTS rate · last 10
40%
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Ajax Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Ajax comeback rate · last 10
NEC Nijmegen comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Ajax · last 5 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 22%
31–45 22%
46–60 11%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%

NEC Nijmegen · last 3 away

0–15 0%
16–30 12%
31–45 12%
46–60 0%
61–75 38%
76–90 38%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

J. Brandt
AJA · Midfielder
1 G
J. Mokio
AJA · Midfielder
1 G
K. Sierhuis
NIJ · Attacker
2 G
T. Chery
NIJ · Attacker
1 G · 0.58 g/90