🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 76% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 70%, NEC Nijmegen to win 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
NEC Nijmegen hosts Excelsior in a game that hints at an open, attacking contest. Both sides show similar recent form, but Excelsior’s slightly better momentum on the road and higher expected goals suggest they can challenge NEC’s defense. The match leans towards a lively pace with a good chance of goals from both ends, supported by the market’s strong over 2.5 goals signal.
- NEC’s home comfort may provide a pressing edge.
- Excelsior’s attacking threat could exploit defensive gaps.
- Recent head-to-head shows potential for goals and swings in momentum.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 56% | NEC Nijmegen win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 76% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 70% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 77% | 1X |
- 1X2 NEC Nijmegen win 56%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76%
- BTTS Yes 70%
- Double Chance 1X 77%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
NEC Nijmegen
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
2.44 / 1.44
Excelsior
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
12 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.75 / 1.39
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
NEC Nijmegen wins when scoring first
—
①
Excelsior wins when scoring first
—
⚽
NEC Nijmegen BTTS rate · last 10
90%
⚽
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
NEC Nijmegen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
NEC Nijmegen · last 4 at home
0–15
15%
16–30
8%
31–45
8%
46–60
31%
61–75
15%
76–90
23%
Excelsior · last 3 away
0–15
33%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
67%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
