Match Twente vs PEC Zwolle August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +12.1% better than the market.

Twente hosts PEC Zwolle in a match where both sides come off recent losses, suggesting a cautious start. Twente's home ground advantage and historical edge in tight encounters could see them control the tempo early on. However, the lack of clear form momentum and balanced head-to-head results hint at a competitive, low-scoring affair.

Home crowd support may boost Twente's pressing intensity.
Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity given recent struggles.
Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.10 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TWE 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-2-3-1

TWE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ZWO

9 Weghorst

📊 Statistics

TWE 3 – 1 ZWO

69%

Possession (%)

31%

2.11

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Twente beat PEC Zwolle 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.11 to 0.68. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 8, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -2.98 units (Brier 0.120).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.10	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	47%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Away Win	12.10	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.50	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.16	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	84%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.22	—	69%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 4 L	−2.98u	−43% ROI