Match ADO Den Haag vs Groningen August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.50 — +1.0% better than the market.

Groningen arrives with clear momentum after a recent win, contrasting with ADO Den Haag's current struggles. The away side's better form and points per game edge suggest they hold the upper hand. Expect Groningen to press effectively against a home team still finding rhythm.

Groningen's recent win boosts confidence and attacking intent
ADO Den Haag's home form shows signs of vulnerability
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over wild open spaces

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.50 ✗ Lost

AI 40% Implied 40% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAA 4-4-2 · GRO 4-2-3-1

HAA · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · GRO

46 Eduardo

📊 Statistics

HAA 1 – 4 GRO

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.01

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.20

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Groningen won 4–1 away at ADO Den Haag. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.20 to 1.01. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 14 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.56 units (Brier 0.227).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.62	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.47	—	40%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.35	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.80	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.63	—	58%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.38	—	37%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.46	—	65%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.53	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	60%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.56u	−14% ROI