Match Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.13 — +6.0% better than the market.

Fortuna Sittard hosts Cambuur in a clash marked by contrasting recent forms. Fortuna’s steady home momentum, reflected in a recent draw, contrasts with Cambuur’s struggles, having lost their last game. The home side may leverage their compact block and set-piece threat to control the pace in a match likely to stay under three goals. Cambuur’s resilience could keep it tight, but Fortuna’s slight edge in form and home familiarity suggests a cautious contest.

Fortuna’s home stability vs Cambuur’s away challenges
Compact defensive setups likely to limit scoring
Moderate tempo expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.13 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIT 4-2-3-1 · CAM 4-3-3

SIT · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · CAM

25 Zeefuik

📊 Statistics

SIT 3 – 1 CAM

36%

Possession (%)

64%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fortuna Sittard beat Cambuur 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 1.35. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.35 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.33 units (Brier 0.238).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.67	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.45	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.44	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.13	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.73	—	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	51%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.60	—	51%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.50	—	30%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Away Win	4.37	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	73%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	4.26	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.33u	−21% ROI