Match Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.44 — +9.5% better than the market.

Excelsior hosts PSV Eindhoven in a match where the away side holds a slight edge in recent form and overall points. PSV's ability to maintain possession and create chances contrasts with Excelsior's home momentum after a recent win. Expect a lively encounter with both teams pushing forward, as indicated by the market's lean towards over 3.5 goals and both teams scoring.

PSV's consistent pressure and experience may challenge Excelsior's defense.
Excelsior's home confidence could spark early attacking intent.
The match pace suggests an open game with goal opportunities on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed

AI 76% Implied 69% +0.44u

+44%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EXC 4-3-3 · PSV 4-2-3-1

EXC · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · PSV

21 Timas

📊 Statistics

EXC 1 – 2 PSV

41%

Possession (%)

59%

0.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven won 2–1 away at Excelsior. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.21 to 0.32. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 5, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -2.78 units (Brier 0.164).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.92	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.30	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.66	—	54%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.92	—	38%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	2.77	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	76%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Home Win	4.99	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	76%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	4.33	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	4 W · 5 L	−2.78u	−31% ROI