Match Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.63 — +14.6% better than the market.

Willem II and NEC Nijmegen both enter this Eredivisie clash on the back of recent losses, suggesting a cautious start. The home side lacks clear form momentum, while NEC shows slightly better consistency overall. Expect a tactical battle with limited attacking fluency, as indicated by the market's lean towards under 2.5 goals.

NEC's away resilience may challenge Willem II's home setup
Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity
Moderate pace expected, favoring compact play

This match could hinge on set-piece moments or individual errors rather than open-play dominance, making a tight scoreline plausible.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.63 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WIL 4-2-3-1 · NIJ 3-1-4-2

WIL · 4-2-3-1 3-1-4-2 · NIJ

9 Haen

📊 Statistics

WIL 1 – 4 NIJ

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.43

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.99

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

62%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen won 4–1 away at Willem II. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.99 to 1.43. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 9, 10 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.19 units (Brier 0.160).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.63	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.80	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.71	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.45	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.10	—	42%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Home Win	5.60	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.17	—	78%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	—	63%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	1.57	—	56%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Draw	4.75	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.19u	−29% ROI