Match Heerenveen vs Twente August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.08 — +4.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Eredivisie clash at Abe Lenstra Stadion leans on tactical balance and pace hints. The odds suggest a lively encounter with a good chance of goals, favoring over 2.5 and both teams to score. Home advantage may offer Heerenveen a slight edge, but Twente’s resilience on the road could keep things tight.

Potential for open play and attacking intent
Home side’s familiarity with pitch conditions
Both teams likely to press and create chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.08 ✓ Cashed

AI 34% Implied 32% +2.08u

+208%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEE 4-2-3-1 · TWE 4-2-3-1

HEE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · TWE

9 Vente

📊 Statistics

HEE 1 – 0 TWE

46%

Possession (%)

54%

0.39

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heerenveen beat Twente 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.73 to 0.39. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +1.11 units (Brier 0.309).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.70	—	58%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.75	—	35%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.70	—	56%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.20	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.19	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.08	—	34%	Cashed	+2.08	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.48	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.88	—	33%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	+1.11u	+10% ROI