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Home Netherlands Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen — Telstar

Match NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 14:30
1:2
Full-time
Telstar
Telstar
W L Away · last 5
Goffertstadion · Nijmegen Referee M. Vos
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.80
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.05
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.60
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.89 – 1.46
Δ +0.43
Possession
71% – 29%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 5.05 — +1.5% better than the market.

NEC Nijmegen hosts Telstar in a match with limited recent form data, making predictions cautious. The home side enjoys a mild advantage given the home edge and the tendency for a moderately open game suggested by the odds favoring over 2.5 goals. Expect NEC to leverage their home momentum and pressing edge to challenge Telstar’s defense.

  • Home crowd support at Goffertstadion
  • Moderate pace with potential for goals
  • Early signs of attacking intent from NEC

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 5.05 ✗ Lost
AI 20% Implied 20% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

NIJ 12 STO
71%
Possession (%)
29%
1.89
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.46
27
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
12
Shots off Target
3
17
Shots Inside Box
8
13
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
14
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Telstar won 2–1 away at NEC Nijmegen. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +3.96 units (Brier 0.276).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.80 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.05 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.60 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.00 40% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Away Win 7.16 20% Cashed +6.16 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 67% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.42 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.05 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.11 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L +3.96u +36% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
NIJ – STO @ 5.05
+1.5%
Edge
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