Match Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin February 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.02 — +14.0% better than the market.

Gornik Zabrze holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Pogon's slightly stronger attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Zabrze's compact block and home crowd support could limit away chances. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but cautious approaches may prevail given the balanced goal expectations.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive threat
Recent form favors Gornik's home confidence
Moderate tempo likely with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.02 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GOR 4-1-4-1 · POG 4-2-3-1

GOR · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · POG

23 Liseth

📊 Statistics

GOR 0 – 1 POG

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.39

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.15

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Pogon Szczecin won 1–0 away at Gornik Zabrze. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.15 to 0.39. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.20 units (Brier 0.302).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.39	—	49%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.17	—	53%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Home Win	2.02	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.88	—	44%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.73	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.46	—	74%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.40	—	29%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.48	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.70	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.92	—	18%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Away Win	3.93	—	18%	Cashed	+2.93	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.20u	+19% ROI

Match Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Home Win at 2.02 — +14.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled