Match Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice February 15, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.07 — +13.4% better than the market.

Lech Poznan holds a clear quality edge and a solid home advantage against Piast Gliwice, who have shown strong recent form but face a tough defensive challenge. Lech's defensive solidity and superior attacking potential suggest they can control the game tempo and limit Piast's chances. Expect a tactical battle with Lech leveraging their home momentum and compact block to press effectively.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Piast's recent winning streak as a confidence factor
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.07 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · PIA 4-3-3

LEC · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PIA

7 Agnero

📊 Statistics

LEC 3 – 0 PIA

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.24

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lech Poznan beat Piast Gliwice 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.86 to 1.24.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.95 units (Brier 0.114).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.80	—	61%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.07	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	54%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.17	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.81	—	45%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.41	—	76%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	61%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.08	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.95	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	70%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Away Win	4.62	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.55	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.95u	−29% ROI

Match Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.07 — +13.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled