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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Nacional

Predictions Guimaraes vs Nacional August 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 14:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Nacional
Nacional
D W Away · last 5
Referee P. Ramalho
Home Win · GUI
51%
Best 1.75
Draw
25%
Best 3.97
Away Win · NAC
25%
Best 5.00
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.66
book 1.80 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +8.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 24.5%
Odds 4.89
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 40%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 10.05
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 39.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
GUI – NAC @ 1.80
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →