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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Estrela

Predictions Alverca vs Estrela August 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L D
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
D D Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
42%
Best 2.22
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · EST
31%
Best 3.66
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.85
Fair odds
1.75
book 1.85 · +6.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +6.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 42.7%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ALV – EST @ 1.85
+6.0%
Edge
Forecast →