P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Guimaraes

Predictions Sporting CP vs Guimaraes August 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Fri 14 Aug · 19:15
3:2
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
L L Away · last 5
Referee D. Silva
Home Win · SPO
63%
Best 1.33
Draw
19%
Best 5.98
Away Win · GUI
14%
Best 9.45
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.02
book 2.30 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +13.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (51%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 15.25
Show model details
Implied probability 6.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.8%
Odds 5.38
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 73%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 41.6%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 32.9%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
SPO – GUI @ 2.30
+13.8%
Edge
Forecast →