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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — SC Braga

Predictions Moreirense vs SC Braga August 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 D L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 19:30
2:2
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
D Away · last 5
Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Home Win · MOR
25%
Best 6.50
Draw
25%
Best 4.04
Away Win · BRA
50%
Best 1.62
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.11
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.11 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +5.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (75%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 25.3%
Odds 4.82
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 9.55
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.18
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MOR – BRA @ 2.11
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →