Match Moreirense vs SC Braga August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.11 — +5.4% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Primeira Liga opener between Moreirense and SC Braga looks finely poised. The odds suggest a balanced contest with a slight edge to Braga, hinting at a tactical battle where home momentum and Braga's away resilience will be key. Expect a moderate tempo game with both sides cautious yet probing for set-piece opportunities.

Home side's compact block may challenge Braga's attack.
Braga likely to leverage pressing and quick transitions.
Odds imply a moderate goal environment, favoring under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.11 ✓ Cashed

AI 50% Implied 47% +1.11u

+111%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOR 4-3-3 · BRA 3-4-3

MOR · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · BRA

21 Alonso

89 Vieira

11 Landerson

Subs used · MOR

59'

Bondoso ↑ ·

Vieira ↓

67'

Veloso ↑ ·

Rodri ↓

75'

Maranhao ↑ ·

Liberato ↓

75'

Stjepanovic ↑ ·

John ↓

Subs used · BRA

42'

Bajrami ↑ ·

Arrey-Mbi ↓

46'

Gomez ↑ ·

Travassos ↓

57'

Huseinbasic ↑ ·

Dorgeles ↓

57'

Victor ↑ ·

Horta ↓

90+4'

Moutinho ↑ ·

E. Tiknaz ↓

📊 Statistics

MOR 2 – 2 BRA

36%

Possession (%)

64%

0.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.94

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 2

⚽

F. Navarro

Assist · Vitor Carvalho · 0–1

N. John

Assist · A. Duville-Parsemain · 1–1

⚽

18'

▮

Travassos

Yellow Card

Guilherme Liberato

Yellow Card

▮

20'

42'

⇄

A. Bajrami ↓ · B. Arrey-Mbi ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 1 – 1

46'

⇄

V. Gomez ↓ · Travassos ↑

Substitution 2

Kevyn Monteiro

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

57'

⇄

D. Huseinbasic ↓ · M. Dorgeles ↑

Substitution 3

57'

⇄

P. Victor ↓ · R. Horta ↑

Substitution 4

Kiko Bondoso ↓ · A. Vieira ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

N. John

Yellow Card

▮

61'

66'

⚽

P. Victor

Assist · D. E. Tiknaz · 1–2

J. Veloso ↓ · Rodri ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

Yan Maranhao ↓ · Guilherme Liberato ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

M. Stjepanovic ↓ · N. John ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

G. Batista

Yellow Card

▮

78'

J. Veloso

2–2

⚽

90+1'

90+3'

▮

P. Victor

Yellow Card

90+4'

⇄

J. Moutinho ↓ · D. E. Tiknaz ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Moreirense and SC Braga drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 0.94 to 0.21. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 4 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.21 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Navarro (7'), N. John (8'), P. Victor (66'), J. Veloso (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.51 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.11	2.30	50%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.87	1.87	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	2.00	49%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	1.95	50%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	1.86	1.80	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.72	1.61	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.82	5.62	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	1.05	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.55	10.00	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.28	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.29	3.40	28%	Cashed	+2.29	Cashed
Draw	3.75	3.94	25%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	1.30	73%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.37	3.40	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.18	1.15	75%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.18	4.18	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.26	1.18	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.51u	−3% ROI