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Home France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Rennes

Predictions Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes August 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 D W W L D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Rennes
Rennes
W W L W L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris
Home Win · PSG
60%
Best 1.60
Draw
20%
Best 5.33
Away Win · REN
20%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.00
Fair odds
4.99
book 5.00 · +0.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +0.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (60%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 19.6%
Odds 7.03
Show model details
Implied probability 14.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 20%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 31%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.3%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 92.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.7%
Odds 6.28
Show model details
Implied probability 15.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19.6%
Odds 4.93
Show model details
Implied probability 20.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSG – REN @ 5.00
+0.2%
Edge
Forecast →