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Home Italy Serie A AS Roma — Fiorentina

Predictions AS Roma vs Fiorentina August 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Marcenaro
Home Win · ROM
55%
Best 1.63
Draw
24%
Best 4.24
Away Win · FIO
21%
Best 6.04
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.39
Fair odds
2.22
book 2.39 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 45% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (79%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.4%
Odds 5.88
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.23
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 45%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ROM – FIO @ 2.39
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →