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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Sassuolo

Predictions Atalanta vs Sassuolo August 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee V. Crezzini
Home Win · ATA
56%
Best 1.59
Draw
23%
Best 4.50
Away Win · SAS
21%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.30
book 2.50 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 44% · EV +8.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (79%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 21.1%
Odds 6.12
Show model details
Implied probability 16.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 83%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ATA – SAS @ 2.50
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →