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Home Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Alaves

Predictions Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves August 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Thu 20 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Alaves
Alaves
W Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Butarque · Leganes Referee J. Munuera
Home Win · RAY
44%
Best 2.36
Draw
28%
Best 3.20
Away Win · ALA
28%
Best 3.62
Value pick
Over 1.5
@ 1.44
Fair odds
1.31
book 1.44 · +9.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 76% · EV +9.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28.2%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.8%
Odds 6.70
Show model details
Implied probability 14.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28.1%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
RAY – ALA @ 1.44
+9.7%
Edge
Forecast →