Match Alaves vs Getafe August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.55 — +3.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form and team data, this La Liga opener between Alaves and Getafe hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a low-scoring game with under 2.5 goals favored, pointing to a compact defensive setup from both sides. Home advantage might offer Alaves a slight edge, but expect a tactical battle with few clear chances.

Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity
Low tempo expected based on goal market odds
Home side may press for control but face resilient away defense

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.55 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ALA 4-4-2 · GET 3-5-2

ALA · 4-4-2 3-5-2 · GET

11 Martínez

Subs used · ALA

57'

Diaz ↑ ·

Manas ↓

57'

Rodriguez ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

65'

Yusi ↑ ·

Perez ↓

90+4'

Alena ↑ ·

Rebbach ↓

90+4'

Guevara ↑ ·

Blanco ↓

Subs used · GET

46'

Unal ↑ ·

Davinchi ↓

66'

R. Alcantara ↑ ·

Martin ↓

73'

Valou ↑ ·

Satriano ↓

81'

Boselli ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

81'

Sazonov ↑ ·

Djene ↓

📊 Statistics

ALA 3 – 0 GET

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.24

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 3 – 0

10'

▮

Davinchi

Yellow Card

23'

▮

M. Martin

Yellow Card

42'

▮

Kiko Femenia

Red Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

E. Unal ↓ · Davinchi ↑

Substitution 1

D. Suarez

Yellow Card

▮

45+3'

M. Diaz ↓ · A. Manas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

M. Rodriguez ↓ · D. Suarez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

Yusi ↓ · A. Perez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

65'

66'

⇄

A. R. Alcantara ↓ · M. Martin ↑

Substitution 2

A. Rebbach

Yellow Card

▮

66'

73'

⇄

J. Valou ↓ · M. Satriano ↑

Substitution 3

N. Tenaglia

Assist · M. Diaz · 1–0

⚽

73'

76'

▮

Djene

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

S. Boselli ↓ · A. Garcia ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

S. Sazonov ↓ · Djene ↑

Substitution 5

A. Blanco

Yellow Card

▮

85'

M. Diaz

2–0

⚽

90+1'

M. Diaz

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

C. Alena ↓ · A. Rebbach ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+4'

A. Guevara ↓ · A. Blanco ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+4'

M. Rodriguez

Assist · M. Diaz · 3–0

⚽

90+4'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Alaves beat Getafe 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.83 to 0.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Tenaglia (73'), M. Diaz (90+1'), M. Rodriguez (90+4'). Kiko Femenia was sent off in the 42' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.31 units (Brier 0.186).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 1.5	1.71	1.73	57%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.23	2.15	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.35	2.39	40%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.40	2.34	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	2.80	2.75	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.42	2.43	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.60	1.59	40%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.57	1.57	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.51	1.55	61%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 2.5	3.04	3.25	30%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
Away Win	3.55	3.72	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.08	1.08	86%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.33	1.33	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	6.45	6.49	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.11	1.13	83%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 0.5	5.30	5.29	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.29	1.28	71%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.31u	−19% ROI