P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano August 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 19:30
2:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
L D Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Home Win · SEV
42%
Best 2.48
Draw
28%
Best 3.25
Away Win · RAY
31%
Best 3.29
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.28
Fair odds
3.27
book 3.28 · +0.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 31% · EV +0.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (42%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 83%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.19
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SEV – RAY @ 3.28
+0.2%
Edge
Forecast →