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Home England Premier League Fulham — Chelsea

Predictions Fulham vs Chelsea August 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 W L L D W
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Chelsea
Chelsea
L L D W L Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee J. Brooks
Home Win · FUL
30%
Best 3.88
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · CHE
46%
Best 1.99
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.39
book 3.75 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (46%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.48
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 29.5%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
FUL – CHE @ 3.75
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →